Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.051626 0.058989 0.066580 0.074959 0.083915 0.093174 0.103439
2025-07-13 0.043352 0.054660 0.066935 0.081102 0.096860 0.113724 0.133013
2025-07-20 0.033348 0.046305 0.061072 0.078797 0.099175 0.121590 0.147841
2025-07-27 0.029137 0.043701 0.060932 0.082217 0.107259 0.135316 0.168683
2025-08-03 0.024586 0.039969 0.058876 0.082886 0.111745 0.144623 0.184258
2025-08-10 0.020907 0.036816 0.057097 0.083513 0.115875 0.153276 0.198885
2025-08-17 0.017361 0.033361 0.054560 0.082889 0.118245 0.159671 0.210734
2025-08-24 0.013366 0.028715 0.050039 0.079401 0.116820 0.161331 0.216839
2025-08-31 0.010427 0.025168 0.046639 0.077052 0.116558 0.164186 0.224186
2025-09-07 0.008634 0.023134 0.045133 0.077020 0.119073 0.170301 0.235340
2025-09-14 0.007455 0.021943 0.044708 0.078342 0.123245 0.178400 0.248850
2025-09-21 0.007016 0.021996 0.046083 0.082103 0.130557 0.190377 0.267068
2025-09-28 0.005617 0.020161 0.044676 0.082228 0.133492 0.197397 0.279902
2025-10-05 0.005669 0.021233 0.047850 0.088911 0.145205 0.215575 0.306611
2025-10-12 0.004041 0.018455 0.044732 0.086508 0.144808 0.218525 0.314668
2025-10-19 0.003640 0.018297 0.045808 0.090121 0.152430 0.231593 0.335187
2025-10-26 0.002876 0.017050 0.044950 0.090826 0.156088 0.239610 0.349466
2025-11-02 0.002233 0.015885 0.044116 0.091488 0.159636 0.247458 0.363525
2025-11-09 0.001572 0.014354 0.042479 0.090830 0.161299 0.252838 0.374479
2025-11-16 0.000835 0.011979 0.039009 0.087151 0.158618 0.252483 0.378152
2025-11-23 0.000408 0.010203 0.036421 0.084671 0.157487 0.254048 0.384164
2025-11-30 0.000218 0.009275 0.035411 0.084637 0.159771 0.260060 0.395786
2025-12-07 0.000126 0.008800 0.035295 0.086034 0.164093 0.268760 0.410835